Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.184236 0.199753 0.216190 0.234939 0.255777 0.278281 0.304490
2026-01-11 0.157509 0.179580 0.204494 0.234875 0.271151 0.313369 0.366643
2026-01-18 0.137822 0.162697 0.192054 0.229608 0.276872 0.335068 0.413215
2026-01-25 0.122701 0.148725 0.180503 0.222698 0.278071 0.349433 0.450327
2026-02-01 0.111963 0.138733 0.172372 0.218480 0.281213 0.365372 0.489983
2026-02-08 0.102744 0.129692 0.164382 0.213243 0.281835 0.377161 0.524263
2026-02-15 0.095529 0.122592 0.158194 0.209589 0.283838 0.390458 0.561529
2026-02-22 0.091532 0.119409 0.156886 0.212350 0.294859 0.417423 0.622295
2026-03-01 0.086713 0.114717 0.153072 0.211067 0.299577 0.435050 0.669982
2026-03-08 0.081931 0.109741 0.148463 0.208152 0.301376 0.448019 0.711127
2026-03-15 0.077122 0.104427 0.142999 0.203479 0.299906 0.455372 0.743117
2026-03-22 0.075369 0.103374 0.143623 0.208035 0.313323 0.488267 0.824771
2026-03-29 0.072994 0.101364 0.142823 0.210506 0.323889 0.518015 0.906227
2026-04-05 0.070191 0.098578 0.140698 0.210731 0.330758 0.542126 0.980786
2026-04-12 0.066471 0.094205 0.135867 0.206178 0.328954 0.550262 1.024063
2026-04-19 0.062710 0.089580 0.130381 0.200146 0.324001 0.551939 1.053814
2026-04-26 0.059760 0.086065 0.126453 0.196458 0.322901 0.560748 1.100318
2026-05-03 0.056833 0.082448 0.122171 0.191873 0.319757 0.565175 1.137513
2026-05-10 0.054399 0.079499 0.118817 0.188673 0.318904 0.574027 1.186341
2026-05-17 0.053261 0.078554 0.118678 0.191092 0.328861 0.605957 1.296249
2026-05-24 0.051503 0.076530 0.116641 0.189968 0.331827 0.623474 1.373186
2026-05-31 0.049585 0.074163 0.113915 0.187414 0.331740 0.634349 1.434719
2026-06-07 0.047499 0.071442 0.110463 0.183317 0.328220 0.637260 1.475269